Friday, March 1, 2019

Happy March!

Virginia back in place as the #1 overall seed.  As of today, the model projects the top 50 seeds (listed below) as making the tournament whether they win their conference or not.  The model indicates Wofford, New Mexico State and now Belmont would get at-larges, if need be.  The bottom 18 are automatic qualifiers that won't make it unless they win their respective conferences.

Bubble Talk
Arizona State back out after getting crushed at Oregon.  Temple and St. John's are the last two in.  Toledo remains in the mix.  North Carolina State still hasn't cracked the first four out.  Furman enters the picture.  Given the way the numbers fall, the last four in would all play-in on the 12 line.   

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Virginia, Duke, Gonzaga, North Carolina
#2 seeds: Michigan State, Kentucky, Kansas, Houston
#3 seeds: Tennessee, Michigan, Purdue, Texas Tech
#4 seeds:  Buffalo, LSU, Florida State, VA Tech
#5 seeds:  Marquette, Nevada, Iowa State, Wisconsin
#6 seeds:  Maryland, Mississippi State, Cincy, Villanova
#7 seeds:  Kansas State, Auburn, Wofford, Louisville
#8 seeds:  VCU, Washington, Iowa, UCF
#9 seeds:  Oklahoma, Baylor, Utah State, Syracuse
#10 seeds:  Florida, Texas, Saint Mary's, Ohio State
#11 seeds:  Clemson, TCU, New Mexico State, Mississippi
#12 seeds:  Belmont, Toledo, play-in: Alabama / Minnesota, play-in: Temple / St. John's
#13 seeds:  Lipscomb, Yale, UC Irvine, Hofstra,
#14 seeds:  Vermont, Drake, Old Dominion, Montana
#15 seeds:  Bucknell, Radford, Texas State, South Dakota State
#16 seeds:  Sam Houston State, Wright State, play-in:  Prairie View / St. Francis (PA), play-in:  Norfolk State / Iona

First 4 Out:  Furman, Arizona State, Seton Hall, San Francisco


Bracket Matrix
Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/