Bubble Talk
Murray State ends up in effect stealing a bid. Their resume was not quite strong enough for an at-large, but beating Belmont boosted it to tournament worthy. They get the auto bid regardless and Belmont remains in the field as an at-large. Saint Mary's and Toledo remain in. Temple rejoins the field while Seton Hall currently first team out. Iowa and Florida on thin ice. Ohio State and Alabama fall further out of consideration. Given the way the numbers fall, the last four in would all play-in on the 12 line.
Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Virginia, Duke, Gonzaga, North Carolina
#2 seeds: Michigan State, Tennessee, Kentucky, Kansas
#3 seeds: Michigan, Houston, Texas Tech, Purdue
#4 seeds: LSU, Florida State, Buffalo, VA Tech
#5 seeds: Wisconsin, Nevada, Kansas State, Maryland
#6 seeds: Auburn, Villanova, Mississippi State, Wofford
#7 seeds: VCU, Louisville, Cincy, Iowa State
#8 seeds: UCF, Marquette, Oklahoma, Washington
#9 seeds: Utah State, Saint Mary's, Clemson, Syracuse
#10 seeds: Baylor, Minnesota, Texas, Murray State*
#11 seeds: Toledo, TCU, New Mexico State, Belmont
#12 seeds: Mississippi, Iowa, play-in: Florida / Creighton, play-in: Temple / Arizona State
#13 seeds: Hofstra, UC Irvine, Vermont, Harvard
#14 seeds: Georgia State, Liberty*, Old Dominion, Colgate
#15 seeds: Montana, Northern Kentucky, Nebraska Omaha, Sam Houston State
#16 seeds: Gardner-Webb*, Prairie View, play-in: Bradley* / Fairleigh Dickinson, play-in: Norfolk State / Iona
First 4 out: Seton Hall, UNCG, Furman, Ohio State
* automatic bid
Bracket Matrix
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
