Monday, February 25, 2019

Conference Tournaments Begin in One Week

Not a lot of movement over the weekend.  Michigan State moves up and Michigan moves down.  Tennessee continues to slowly slide down.  As of today, the model projects the top 49 seeds (listed below) as making the tournament whether they win their conference or not.  The bottom 19 are automatic qualifiers that won't make it unless they win their respective conferences.  

Bubble Talk
Arizona State changes places with San Francisco.  Although three teams in from the WCC seems highly unlikely.  North Carolina State still hasn't cracked the first four out.  Minnesota hanging on by a thread.  Given the way the numbers fall, the last four in would all play-in on the 12 line.  The model indicates Wofford and New Mexico State would get in as at-larges regardless of whether they stumble in their conference tournaments.    

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina
#2 seeds: Kentucky, Michigan State, Kansas, Houston
#3 seeds: Purdue, Michigan, Tennessee, Texas Tech
#4 seeds:  Buffalo, LSU, Florida State, Maryland
#5 seeds:  Wisconsin, Marquette, Nevada, Iowa State
#6 seeds:  VA Tech, Mississippi State, Kansas State, Auburn
#7 seeds:  Louisville, Cincy, Washington, Villanova
#8 seeds:  Wofford, Iowa, VCU, Oklahoma
#9 seeds:  Baylor, UCF, TCU, Syracuse
#10 seeds:  Saint Mary's, Florida, Texas, Utah State
#11 seeds:  Mississippi, Ohio State, St. John's, Clemson
#12 seeds:  New Mexico State, Belmont, play-in: Temple / Toledo, play-in: San Francisco / Minnesota
#13 seeds:  Yale, UC Irvine, Hofstra, Vermont
#14 seeds:  Drake, Lipscomb, Old Dominion, Montana
#15 seeds:  Bucknell, Radford, Texas State, South Dakota State
#16 seeds:  Sam Houston State, Wright State, play-in:  Prairie View / St. Francis (PA), play-in:  Norfolk State / Iona

First 4 Out:  Alabama, Arizona State, Butler, Seton Hall


Bracket Matrix
Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/