Major Conference Tournament Play About to Get Interesting

Colgate joins the field by winning the Patriot.  The Eye projection model is derived from the overall seed list released the last two years.  The bottom 18, including Colgate, are automatic qualifiers that need to win or did win their respective conferences to secure a bid.  FYI, the rankings most mentioned by the media can be wildly inconsistent.  Fun fact:  Nebraska has a #44 KenPom ranking, a #52 NET ranking and a #99 RPI ranking.

Bubble Talk
Wednesday was a tough day for both Clemson and Oklahoma.  Major conference tournaments continue today which will help sort out the bubble.  The model continues to show UNCG and Furman in the first four out but realistically, neither have a chance to get in with their seasons completed.  Given the way the numbers fall, the last four in would all play-in on the 12 line.  

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Virginia, Duke, North Carolina, Gonzaga
#2 seeds: Michigan State, Kentucky, Tennessee, Houston
#3 seeds: Kansas, Michigan, Texas Tech, Purdue
#4 seeds:  LSU, Florida State, Buffalo, Nevada
#5 seeds:  Virginia Tech, Kansas State, Wisconsin, Wofford*

#6 seeds:  Auburn, Maryland, Villanova, Louisville

#7 seeds:  Mississippi State, VCU, Cincy, UCF

#8 seeds:  Marquette, Iowa State, Saint Mary's*, Utah State

#9 seeds:  Washington, Syracuse, Oklahoma, Baylor

#10 seeds:  Toledo, Minnesota, Clemson, Texas

#11 seeds:  Murray State*, New Mexico State, TCU, Belmont

#12 seeds: Temple, Iowa, play-in: Mississippi / Arizona State, play-in: Creighton / Florida

#13 seeds:  Northeastern*, Georgia State, Harvard, UC Irvine

#14 seeds:  Vermont, Liberty*, Old Dominion, Colgate*

#15 seeds:  Montana, Northern Kentucky*, Sam Houston State, Gardner-Webb*

#16 seeds:  Prairie View, Bradley*, play-in: Fairleigh Dickinson* / Norfolk State, play-in: North Dakota State* / Iona*

First 4 out:  Seton Hall, UNCG, Furman, Davidson

* automatic bid

Bracket Matrix

Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections:

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/