North Carolina Enters 1 Line After Big Win at Duke

North Carolina makes a statement last night by beating the Zion-less Blue Devils on the road.  As of today, the model projects the top 49 seeds (listed below) as making the tournament whether they win their conference or not.  The bottom 19 are automatic qualifiers that won't make it unless they win their respective conferences.  

Bubble Talk
St. Mary's, Temple and Arizona State join the party.  Given the way the numbers fall, the last four in would all play-in on the 12 line.  The model indicates Wofford and New Mexico State would get in as at-larges regardless of whether they stumble in their conferences.  Toledo still hanging on.  North Carolina State still on the outside looking in with an RPI of 95.  

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Virginia, Duke, Gonzaga, North Carolina
#2 seeds: Kentucky, Kansas, Tennessee, Michigan
#3 seeds: Michigan State, Houston, Purdue, Texas Tech
#4 seeds:  Buffalo, Florida State, LSU, Maryland
#5 seeds:  Wisconsin, Marquette, Iowa State, Villanova
#6 seeds:  VA Tech, Nevada, Louisville, Kansas State
#7 seeds:  Mississippi State, Auburn, Washington, Cincy
#8 seeds:  Wofford, Iowa, VCU, Oklahoma
#9 seeds:  Texas, Baylor, Syracuse, Florida
#10 seeds:  TCU, UCF, Utah State, Mississippi
#11 seeds:  Minnesota, Ohio State, New Mexico State, St. John's

#12 seeds:  Clemson, Yale, play-in: Arizona State / Toledo, play-in: Temple / St. Mary's
#13 seeds:  Belmont, Lipscomb, Hofstra, UC Irvine
#14 seeds:  Vermont, Drake, Old Dominion, Montana
#15 seeds:  Radford, Texas State, Bucknell, Northern Kentucky
#16 seeds:  South Dakota State, Sam Houston State, play-in:  St. Francis (PA) / Prairie View, play-in:  Norfolk State / Quinnipiac

First 4 Out:  San Francisco, Alabama, Butler, Seton Hall

Bracket Matrix
Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/