Thursday, February 14, 2019

Conference Tournaments Begin in 18 Days

Tennessee returns to the top line.  Again, strictly formulaic.  As of today, the model projects the top 50 seeds (listed below) as making the tournament whether they win their conference or not.  The bottom 18 are automatic qualifiers that won't make it unless they win their respective conferences.  

Bubble Talk
The last two at-large bids would go to San Francisco and Temple.  And because of the way the numbers fall, two of the last four would would play-in on the 11 line and two would play-in on the 12 line.  The model indicates Wofford, Lipscomb and New Mexico State would all get in as at-larges regardless of whether they stumble in their conferences.  UCF, Clemson and Toledo moving up. San Fran finally cracks the field. Minnesota hanging on by a thread after getting jobbed by the officials in Lincoln last night.  

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, Tennessee
#2 seeds: Kansas, North Carolina, Michigan, Purdue
#3 seeds: Michigan State, Kentucky, Houston, LSU
#4 seeds:  Texas Tech, Villanova, Nevada, Louisville
#5 seeds:  Wisconsin, Kansas State, Maryland, Iowa State
#6 seeds:  Buffalo, Florida State, VA Tech, Marquette
#7 seeds:  Mississippi State, Cincy, Washington, Iowa
#8 seeds:  TCU, Auburn, Mississippi State, Wofford
#9 seeds:  Texas, VCU, Oklahoma, Ohio State
#10 seeds:  Alabama, UCF, Baylor, Clemson
#11 seeds:  Toledo, Syracuse, St. John's, play-in: Utah State / Minnesota
#12 seeds:  New Mexico State, Lipscomb, Yale, play-in: San Francisco / Temple
#13 seeds:  Davidson, Belmont, Hofstra, Vermont
#14 seeds:  UC Irvine, Radford, Old Dominion, Bucknell
#15 seeds:  Loyola-Chicago, Northern Kentucky, Texas State, Montana
#16 seeds:  South Dakota State, Sam Houston State, play-in:  St. Francis (PA) / Prairie View, play-in:  Norfolk State / Quinnipiac

First 4 Out:  Saint Mary's, Seton Hall, Butler, Florida


Bracket Matrix
Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/