Bubble Talk
The last two at-large bids would go to Alabama and San Francisco. Given the way the numbers fall, the last four in would all play-in on the 12 line. The model indicates Wofford and New Mexico State would get in as at-larges regardless of whether they stumble in their conferences. Florida and Seton Hall re-enter the field. Toledo hanging on despite the home loss to Buffalo. North Carolina State still not even close with an RPI of 99.
Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, Kentucky
#2 seeds: Tennessee, Michigan, Michigan State, Kansas
#3 seeds: North Carolina, Houston, Purdue, LSU
#4 seeds: Texas Tech, Iowa State, Buffalo, Nevada
#5 seeds: Villanova, Wisconsin, Florida State, Louisville
#6 seeds: Marquette, Maryland, VA Tech, Kansas State
#7 seeds: Mississippi State, Iowa, Cincy, Auburn
#8 seeds: Washington, Wofford, Oklahoma, TCU
#9 seeds: Mississippi, Texas, TCU, St. John's
#10 seeds: UCF, Syracuse, Utah State, Clemson
#11 seeds: Toledo, Ohio State, Baylor, Minnesota
#12 seeds: New Mexico State, Lipscomb, play-in: Florida / Seton Hall, play-in: Alabama / San Francisco
#13 seeds: Yale, Belmont, Hofstra, UC Irvine
#14 seeds: Vermont, Drake, Old Dominion, Montana
#15 seeds: Radford, Texas State, Bucknell, Northern Kentucky
#16 seeds: South Dakota State, Sam Houston State, play-in: St. Francis (PA) / Prairie View, play-in: Norfolk State / Quinnipiac
#13 seeds: Yale, Belmont, Hofstra, UC Irvine
#14 seeds: Vermont, Drake, Old Dominion, Montana
#15 seeds: Radford, Texas State, Bucknell, Northern Kentucky
#16 seeds: South Dakota State, Sam Houston State, play-in: St. Francis (PA) / Prairie View, play-in: Norfolk State / Quinnipiac
First 4 Out: Saint Mary's, Temple, Butler, Arizona State
Bracket Matrix
Check this site out. Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
