Davidson elbows into the field by winning the A10. Going to be a crazy tournament! Risers include Arizona, Houston, West Virginia and Providence.
The bubble got smaller with the Davidson win. That forces two automatic qualifiers up to the 11 line. Is Loyola-Chicago one of the two? They shouldn't be - they have a lofty RPI of 22 but one win over an RPI top 50 team all season. I think eight teams are vying for the final three spots. I still have Texas, Kansas State and Oklahoma in. I have Syracuse out (4-8 Quad 1 record, best wins against Miami, Clemson and Louisville), but they have a decent case. Followed by Marquette (#57 RPI), Middle Tennessee State (only win over a tournament team is Murray State), Louisville (0-11 vs. RPI top 50) and ASU (#66 RPI).
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
#2 seeds: Duke, North Carolina, Cincinnati, Purdue
#3 seeds: Michigan, Michigan State, Tennessee, Auburn
#4 seeds: Arizona, Wichita State, Houston, West Virginia
#5 seeds: Gonzaga, Texas Tech, Clemson, Kentucky
#6 seeds: Ohio State, Miami (FL), Arkansas, Texas A&M
#7 seeds: Florida, Nevada, Rhode Island, Providence
#8 seeds: TCU, Seton Hall, Missouri, Alabama
#9 seeds: VA Tech, NC State, Butler, Florida State
#10 seeds: St. Bonaventure, Saint Mary's, UCLA, USC
#11 seeds: San Diego State, Davidson, play-in: Creighton / Texas, play-in: Kansas State / Oklahoma
#12 seeds: Loyola-Chicago, New Mexico State, South Dakota State, Marshall
#13 seeds: College of Charleston, UNC Greensboro, Buffalo, Murray State
#14 seeds: Wright State, Bucknell, Montana, UMBC
#15 seeds: Georgia State, SF Austin, Lipscomb, Iona
#16 seeds: CS Fullerton, Penn, play-in: Radford / LIU Brooklyn, play-in: Texas Southern / NC Central
First Five Out: Syracuse, Marquette, Middle Tennessee State, Louisville, Arizona State
Check this site out. Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.