• Quadrant 1: games at home vs teams ranked 1-30 in the RPI, neutral vs 1-50, road vs 1-75
• Quadrant 2: home vs 31-75, neutral vs 51-100, road vs 76-135
• Quadrant 3: home vs 76-160, neutral vs 101-200, road vs 136-240
• Quadrant 4: home vs 161-plus, neutral vs 201-plus, Road vs 241-plus
Risers since my last projection include Big Ten Tournament champs Michigan (6-5 in Quadrant 1 games) and Middle Tennessee State (24-6 overall, 3-3 in Q1 games). Fallers include Butler and Louisville (each 19-12 overall, 3-10 in Q1 games). New names starting to show up as conference champions crowned.
Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
#1 seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
#2 seeds: Duke, North Carolina, Purdue, Auburn
#3 seeds: Michigan, Michigan State, Cincinnati, Tennessee
#4 seeds: Wichita State, Clemson, Arizona, Houston
#5 seeds: Texas Tech, Ohio State, Miami (FL), West Virginia
#6 seeds: Gonzaga, Nevada, Arkansas, Seton Hall
#7 seeds: Texas A&M, Kentucky, TCU, Florida
#8 seeds: Missouri, Creighton, Rhode Island, USC
#9 seeds: Saint Mary's, Florida State, Oklahoma, VA Tech
#10 seeds: Middle Tennessee State*, St. Bonaventure, UCLA, Syracuse
#11 seeds: Butler, Louisville, NC State, play-in: Arizona State / Providence
#12 seeds: Loyola-Chicago, Buffalo*, New Mexico State*, play-in: Texas / Kansas State
#13 seeds: Murray State, South Dakota State*, College of Charleston*, Louisiana-Lafayette*
#14 seeds: Vermont*, Rider*, Bucknell*, East Tennessee State*
#15 seeds: Montana*, Wagner*, Wright State*, UC Santa Barbara*
#16 seeds: Lipscomb, Harvard*, play-in: Radford / SF Austin*, play-in: Hampton* / Prairie View*
First Five Out: Washington, Baylor, Marquette, Alabama, Boise State
Bubble Talk
Washington, Baylor and Alabama (17-14 overall) fall out.
Bracket Matrix
Check this site out. Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
