Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Purdue Hanging On

Tough week for Purdue with losses to Ohio State and Michigan State, but still hanging on to a 1 seed.  Clemson making a case though with a 20-4 overall record and 3 wins against the RPI top 25 (6 wins against the RPI top 50).  Texas A&M up to the 4 line now with an impressive 7 wins against the RPI top 50.  Virginia Tech moves into the field with a heck of a win at Virginia.  VA Tech and Texas each with a pair of top 25 RPI wins. Syracuse and USC both playing 11 seed play-in games with decent RPIs, but weak records vs. RPI top 50.  NC State and the other newbie, Temple, are the last two in, each with flawed resumes but the former with an impressive 4 wins vs. RPI top 25 and the latter with 3 wins vs. RPI top 25.  

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
  • #1 seeds:  Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Purdue  
  • #2 seeds:  Clemson, North Carolina, Duke, Kansas 
  • #3 seeds:  Auburn, Michigan State, Cincinnati, Texas Tech 
  • #4 seeds:  Tennessee, Ohio State, Arizona, Texas A&M
  • #5 seeds:  Rhode Island, Oklahoma, Nevada, West Virginia
  • #6 seeds:  Creighton, Kentucky, Wichita State, Seton Hall
  • #7 seeds:  Miami (FL), Missouri, TCU, Arizona State
  • #8 seeds:  Houston, Alabama, Gonzaga, Arkansas
  • #9 seeds:  Butler, Florida, Florida State, Washington
  • #10 seeds:  Providence, Saint Mary's, Michigan, UCLA
  • #11 seeds:  VA Tech, Texas, play-in: Syracuse / USC, play-in: NC State / Temple  
  • #12 seeds:  Middle Tennessee State*, Buffalo*, Vermont*, New Mexico State*  
  • #13 seeds:  Louisiana-Lafayette*, Loyola-Chicago*, East Tennessee State*, Rider*
  • #14 seeds:  Belmont*, Bucknell*, College of Charleston*, UC Santa Barbara*
  • #15 seeds:  Montana*, Northern Kentucky*, Wagner*, South Dakota*
  • #16 seeds:  Florida Gulf Coast*, UNC Asheville, play-in:  SF Austin / Penn*, play-in: Arkansas-Pine Bluff* / Savannah State*  
  • First Six Out:  Louisville, Baylor, Mississippi State, Kansas State, St. Bonaventure, Boise State
   * presumed automatic qualifiers

Bubble Talk
Kansas State moves out - tough to overcome the #63 RPI.  Louisville moves out - tough to overcome the 1-8 record against RPI top 50.  Baylor now knocking on the door with some impressive conference wins.  Miss State still in consideration.  St. Bonny's and Boise on the outside looking in.       

Bracket Matrix

Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/