Saturday, March 11, 2017

Three days until the NCAA tourney field of 68 tips off!

Home stretch now.  Duke crawls up to the 2 line with its impressive win over North Carolina (12th win over an RPI top 50 opponent).  Arizona moves to the top of the Pac 12 pecking order for now with a big matchup against Oregon today.      

My field prognostication as of today is as follows:

  • #1 seeds:  Villanova, North Carolina, Kansas, Gonzaga
  • #2 seeds:  Kentucky, Baylor, Louisville, Duke 
  • #3 seeds:  Florida St., Florida, Arizona, Oregon 
  • #4 seeds:  Butler, UCLA, Virginia, Purdue
  • #5 seeds:  West Virginia, Notre Dame, Minnesota, Cincinnati  
  • #6 seeds:  Iowa State, Creighton, Wisconsin, SMU
  • #7 seeds:  St. Mary's, Dayton, Maryland, South Carolina  
  • #8 seeds:  Michigan, Oklahoma State, Miami (FL), VCU  
  • #9 seeds:  Arkansas, Xavier, Virginia Tech, Northwestern 
  • #10 seeds:  Michigan St., Wichita State, Seton Hall, Vanderbilt   
  • #11 seeds:  Marquette, Providence, Middle Tenn. St.*, play-in: Rhode Island / Wake Forest
  • #12 seeds:  play-in:  Kansas St. / Syracuse, N.C. Wilmington, TX Arlington*, Nevada* 
  • #13 seeds:  Vermont*, Princeton*, E. Tennessee St., Akron*
  • #14 seeds:  Bucknell, Winthrop, Fla. Gulf Coast, Iona 
  • #15 seeds:  CSU Bakersfield*, No. Kentucky, Texas Southern*, UC Irvine* 
  • #16 seeds:  So. Dakota St., Jacksonville St., play-in: Mount St Mary's / North Dakota*, play-in: New Orleans* / North Carolina Central*  
  • First four out:  USC, Illinois St., California, Alabama

* presumed automatic qualifiers

    Bubble talk
    Syracuse still hanging on despite a woeful RPI (SoS of 55, 6-8 record against RPI top 50 and #50 ranking by KenPom).  Houston is done.  USC, Illinois St. and Cal are home waiting for Selection Sunday.  Alabama has emerged from the shadows.  Can they beat Kentucky today?

    Bracket Matrix
    Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.