Friday, March 10, 2017

Four days until the NCAA tourney field of 68 tips off!

It is starting to get interesting now...  Holding Kansas on the 1 line despite losing early in their conference tournament to TCU.      

My field prognostication as of today is as follows:

  • #1 seeds:  Villanova, North Carolina, Kansas, Gonzaga
  • #2 seeds:  Kentucky, Louisville, Baylor, Florida St. 
  • #3 seeds:  Florida, Duke, UCLA, Oregon 
  • #4 seeds:  Butler, Virginia, Arizona, Purdue
  • #5 seeds:  West Virginia, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, Minnesota 
  • #6 seeds:  Iowa State, Creighton, Dayton, SMU
  • #7 seeds:  St. Mary's, South Carolina, Wisconsin, Maryland  
  • #8 seeds:  Michigan, Miami (FL), Oklahoma State, VCU  
  • #9 seeds:  Arkansas, Michigan St., Xavier, Virginia Tech  
  • #10 seeds:  Wichita State, Seton Hall, Northwestern, Marquette  
  • #11 seeds:  Providence, Vanderbilt, Middle Tenn. St.*, play-in: Wake Forest / Kansas St.
  • #12 seeds:  play-in: Rhode Island / Syracuse, N.C. Wilmington, TX Arlington*, Nevada* 
  • #13 seeds:  Vermont*, Princeton*, E. Tennessee St., Akron*
  • #14 seeds:  Bucknell, Winthrop, Fla. Gulf Coast, Iona 
  • #15 seeds:  CSU Bakersfield*, No. Kentucky, Texas Southern*, UC Irvine* 
  • #16 seeds:  So. Dakota St., Jacksonville St., play-in: Mount St Mary's / North Dakota*, play-in: New Orleans* / North Carolina Central*  
  • First four out:  USC, Houston, Illinois, California

* presumed automatic qualifiers

    Bubble talk
    Kansas State with a huge neutral court win against Baylor that vaults them into the field.  Illinois and Iowa both lay eggs in the Big Ten Tournament.  USC plays tough against UCLA but loses and falls out of the field (SoS of 70, 2-6 record against RPI top 50 and #61 ranking by KenPom).  Cal beats a mediocre Utah team but remains on the bubble (SoS of 54, 1-7 record against RPI top 50).  Syracuse is in for the moment despite a woeful RPI (SoS of 55, 6-8 record against RPI top 50 and #48 ranking by KenPom).

    Bracket Matrix
    Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.