Tuesday, January 23, 2018

#1 Seeds Remain Unchanged in Latest Projection

My four projected #1 seeds are holding steady. Biggest mover this week was taking Michigan State up to a #5 seed from a #8.  They did destroy Indiana over the weekend but their 18-3 record is still fairly soft (#29 RPI, #102 SoS, 1 win against the RPI top 50). 

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:

  • #1 seeds:  Villanova, Duke, Purdue, Virginia
  • #2 seeds:  Xavier, North Carolina, Kansas, Clemson
  • #3 seeds:  Oklahoma, Auburn,  Tennessee, West Virginia
  • #4 seeds:  Ohio State, TCU, Texas Tech, Florida
  • #5 seeds:  Cincinnati, Michigan State,  Arizona, Seton Hall
  • #6 seeds:  Kentucky, Rhode Island, Louisville, Nevada
  • #7 seeds:   Miami (FL), Wichita State, Arizona State,  Creighton
  • #8 seeds:  Florida State, Providence, Michigan, Butler
  • #9 seeds:  Texas A&M, Alabama, Missouri, Arkansas
  • #10 seeds:  Texas, Saint Mary's, Marquette, Gonzaga
  • #11 seeds:  SMU, Houston, play-in: Boise State / USC , play-in: Georgia / Kansas State
  • #12 seeds:  Middle Tennessee State*, New Mexico State*, Louisiana-Lafayette*, East Tennessee State*
  • #13 seeds:  Northern Kentucky*, Murray State*, Vermont*, South Dakota State*
  • #14 seeds:  Bucknell*, Buffalo*, Loyola-Chicago*, Penn*
  • #15 seeds:  Iona*, Florida Gulf Coast*, Montana*, SF Austin* 
  • #16 seeds:  UC Davis*, William & Mary*,  play-in: Robert Morris* / Radford*, play-in: Jackson State* / North Carolina Central*  
  • First Four Out:  Notre Dame, Maryland, Syracuse, UCLA
   * presumed automatic qualifiers

Bubble Talk
Kansas State surges into the field after yet another quality win - this time against TCU.  SMU, Georgia and Houston all sitting at 4 wins versus the RPI top 50.  Boise State hanging in there with a 15-4 record despite no wins against the RPI top 50.  UCLA on a three game losing streak and fading fast. 

Bracket Matrix

Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/