Friday, February 9, 2018

X Marks the Spot

Auburn trips up at home against Texas A&M (resulting in a nice jump for TAMU).  Duke falls at UNC.  Xavier improves to 22-3, 3-1 against the RPI top 25.  Big jump for Houston up to the 7 line.  They just keep winning.  Moved Middle Tennessee State down to the 12 line with no wins against the RPI top 50, thereby creating two play-in games on the 11 line.         

Bracketology
My field prognostication as of today is as follows:
  • #1 seeds:  Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier
  • #2 seeds:  Kansas, Auburn, Duke, Clemson
  • #3 seeds:  North Carolina, Cincinnati, Tennessee, Texas Tech 
  • #4 seeds:  Ohio State, Michigan State, Oklahoma, Kentucky
  • #5 seeds:  Creighton, Arizona, Nevada, Rhode Island
  • #6 seeds:  Miami (FL), Seton Hall, West Virginia, Wichita State
  • #7 seeds:  Texas A&M, Saint Mary's, TCU, Houston
  • #8 seeds:  Providence, Arizona State, Michigan, Arkansas
  • #9 seeds:  Missouri, Florida State, Butler, Washington
  • #10 seeds:  Alabama, Texas, Florida, Gonzaga
  • #11 seeds:  NC State, UCLA, play-in: USC / Syracuse, play-in: Louisville /  Kansas State 
  • #12 seeds:  Middle Tennessee State*, Buffalo*, New Mexico State*, Loyola-Chicago* 
  • #13 seeds:  Louisiana-Lafayette*, Vermont*, East Tennessee State*, Belmont* 
  • #14 seeds:  UC Santa Barbara*, Bucknell*, Wagner*, Northern Kentucky*
  • #15 seeds:  Montana*, College of Charleston*, SF Austin*, South Dakota*
  • #16 seeds:  Iona*, Penn*  play-in: Radford* / Florida Gulf Coast*, play-in: Arkansas-Pine Bluff* / North Carolina A&T*  
  • First Six Out:  Mississippi State, VA Tech, Western Kentucky, St. Bonaventure, Boise State, Temple
   * presumed automatic qualifiers

Bubble Talk
UCLA moves solidly into the field with an impressive win at Arizona. They now have 4 wins against the RPI top 50.  Kansas State re-enters the field as well with a 17-7 overall record and 3 wins against the RPI top 50.  Western Kentucky (1 win against RPI top 50) and Boise State (0 wins against RPI top 50) fall out of the field.  Louisville hanging in there despite an 0-6 record against RPI top 25, 1-8 against RPI top 50.  I still think Mississippi State is within striking distance.  Temple has 3 wins against the RPI top 25 - can they keep winning?      

Bracket Matrix

Check this site out.  Great compilation of expert and amateur bracket projections.
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/